CFTC Week 19 prints show commercial long share on electricity futures near 78–80% (down from 83.1% on the prior pull) while total open-interest concentration stays at 100% across equity-index, commodity, and crypto contracts and the two-year Treasury holds at 4.09%. Updated at 25 August 2026. FinUties · Market Regime · Electricity commercials ease, OI concentrated Scope This edition interprets cross-asset regime signals for the Market Regime stream: futures positioning breadth, US Treasury constant-maturity levels, and exploratory equity session ranges. Turkey is the country anchor for desk context this cycle; the evidence cited is predominantly global (US rates, CFTC positioning) unless noted. FinUties provides interpretive synthesis only—no allocation or trading guidance. Introduction This edition asks: why are positioning and rates turning together (or not), and into what regime — concentrated open interest or a broader rates read? Evidence answer (as-of 2026-05-19 UTC): general government gross debt remains 112% of GDP. That is the read from prints already in this edition — not a forecast and not advice. ELECTRICITY (2026 Report Week 19) prints commercial long share of open interest in a 78.0–79.5% band—down from 83.1% on the prior stored pull—while NATURAL GAS, POLLUTION, S&P broad-based stock indices, and the Russell index all report 100% total open-interest concentration, unchanged where a prior exists. US H.15 constant-maturity yields for 2026-05-15 hold at 4.09% (two-year) and 3.77% (six-month); the three-year is the lone mover in the sampled curve at 3.69%, 45 basis points below 4.14% on the prior reading. Two planned feeds returned no parseable economic fields—the daily policy-related rate series and the equities catalogue—so a single regime label cannot be confirmed from rates and equities together. OECD aggregate general government gross debt remains 112% of GDP. Below: how concentrated positioning, selective commercial adjustment in power, and mostly stable front-end rates fit together; what changed versus prior Market Regime editions; and what remains uncertain. Try this query Reproduce the P0 pull for this edition: - REST: GET /api/v1/positioning/legacyfutures-facts?limit=25 - MCP query args: json {"domain": "positioning", "resource": "legacyfutures-facts", "limit": 25} Provenance: P0 domain positioning. As-of this edition 2026-05-19 UTC.…
Pipeline-assisted research note with publish gates. Informational only — not investment advice.
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